Poggibonsi vs Virtus Entella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
45.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poggibonsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
ACM
2 - 0
USP
65%
21%
14%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
USP
2 - 2
TRE
12%
24%
64%
|
23 | 52 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
VIN
5 - 0
USP
38%
27%
35%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -3 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
USP
0 - 0
ACS
41%
27%
32%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
LAQ
0 - 0
USP
60%
22%
19%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
ACD
2 - 1
LEC
42%
26%
32%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
VIN
2 - 1
ACD
30%
27%
42%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -2 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
SAV
3 - 2
ACD
61%
23%
16%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
ACD
1 - 0
REN
31%
26%
43%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | +2 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
ACS
0 - 0
ACD
41%
26%
33%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |