Poggibonsi vs Treviso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.8%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
64%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
19%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28.3%
0-2
15.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poggibonsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
VIN
5 - 0
USP
38%
27%
35%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
USP
0 - 0
ACS
41%
27%
32%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
LAQ
0 - 0
USP
60%
22%
19%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
USP
1 - 1
CRO
51%
25%
25%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
FAN
4 - 2
USP
35%
26%
39%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Treviso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2011 |
MAN
0 - 0
TRE
61%
24%
16%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
TRE
1 - 1
CUN
69%
20%
12%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
CON
1 - 2
TRE
13%
24%
63%
|
55 | 22 | 33 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
TRE
1 - 1
ACC
81%
14%
6%
|
55 | 27 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
TAM
2 - 1
TRE
16%
25%
59%
|
55 | 31 | 24 | 0 |