Poggibonsi vs Scandicci analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poggibonsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
CAN
0 - 1
USP
24%
27%
49%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
ASD
0 - 1
USP
21%
23%
56%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
USP
3 - 0
PIA
52%
25%
23%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
USP
2 - 1
PRO
73%
17%
11%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
SDT
1 - 2
USP
61%
23%
16%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Scandicci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
SCA
1 - 0
PIA
47%
25%
28%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
SCA
1 - 2
TIF
52%
22%
27%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2022 |
SCA
2 - 2
ARZ
29%
24%
47%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
PRO
1 - 2
SCA
23%
22%
54%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
SCA
0 - 4
SDT
28%
26%
46%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |