Poggibonsi vs Scandicci analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poggibonsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 1
USP
38%
27%
35%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
USP
0 - 0
SAN
47%
26%
27%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
VMO
0 - 4
USP
51%
24%
26%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
USP
1 - 1
PIA
46%
26%
28%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
MPO
1 - 0
USP
49%
27%
24%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Scandicci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
MAS
0 - 0
SCA
66%
20%
14%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
SCA
1 - 0
VOL
50%
24%
26%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 1
SCA
47%
25%
28%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
SCA
1 - 2
SAN
38%
27%
36%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
VMO
0 - 0
SCA
52%
22%
26%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |