Poggibonsi vs Santarcangelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.7%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
46.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poggibonsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
ACD
3 - 0
USP
58%
23%
20%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
USP
5 - 2
ACM
37%
28%
35%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +3 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
TRE
1 - 0
USP
76%
16%
8%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
USP
1 - 1
ACG
41%
27%
32%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
CUN
1 - 3
USP
71%
18%
11%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Santarcangelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 0
RIM
21%
26%
54%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
USA
1 - 0
SAN
71%
18%
10%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 1
PRO
39%
27%
35%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
CAS
3 - 0
SAN
44%
27%
28%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -2 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
MAN
22%
25%
53%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | +1 |