Poggibonsi vs Orvietana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.2%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
12%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
12.1%
5.7%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
3º
15º
3º
41
9º
18º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 61 |
2º
|
98.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
57 | 58 |
3º
|
64% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
65.5% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
5º
|
83.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
68% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 46 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 45 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
41 | 44 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 43 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 43 |
11º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
73% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
13º
|
57% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
24.5% | |
|
16º
|
35 | 36 |
16º
|
52.5% | |
|
17º
|
32 | 32 |
17º
|
26.5% | |
|
18º
|
32 | 32 |
18º
|
26.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poggibonsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SPO
3 - 1
USP
20%
27%
54%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
PIA
4 - 2
USP
30%
28%
42%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
USP
3 - 0
GRO
51%
25%
24%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
PIA
0 - 1
USP
34%
27%
39%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
USP
4 - 2
GAV
39%
26%
35%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Orvietana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ORV
1 - 3
ASD
33%
22%
45%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
OST
1 - 0
ORV
65%
19%
16%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
ORV
0 - 4
ARZ
13%
17%
70%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
GAV
2 - 3
ORV
68%
18%
14%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
GRO
0 - 1
ORV
68%
18%
14%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | +1 |