Poggibonsi vs Mezzolara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
16.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poggibonsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
RIB
4 - 0
USP
51%
23%
26%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
USP
0 - 0
FIO
66%
22%
12%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
USP
0 - 1
SDT
54%
23%
24%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
GAV
2 - 1
USP
50%
25%
25%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
USP
0 - 2
JMO
54%
25%
21%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Mezzolara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
MEZ
1 - 0
VIR
40%
24%
36%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
SCA
1 - 2
MEZ
53%
24%
23%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
RAV
2 - 0
MEZ
62%
22%
16%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
MEZ
2 - 1
VIL
49%
24%
27%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
UAR
3 - 0
MEZ
69%
18%
13%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |