Poggibonsi vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
42.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poggibonsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
APR
3 - 0
USP
41%
26%
32%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
USP
1 - 1
ASM
50%
26%
24%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 1
USP
52%
25%
24%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
USP
1 - 0
SOR
17%
23%
59%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | +4 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
TER
1 - 1
USP
77%
16%
8%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
USF
1 - 2
MES
68%
19%
12%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
MES
4 - 0
RAA
67%
20%
12%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
APR
0 - 0
MES
36%
27%
37%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
MES
2 - 0
CAS
52%
24%
25%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ARZ
1 - 0
MES
32%
27%
42%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |