Poggibonsi vs Follonica Gavorrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
39%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poggibonsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
FOL
0 - 2
USP
26%
26%
48%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
USP
3 - 2
RIE
65%
21%
15%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
MON
3 - 0
USP
33%
25%
43%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | -2 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
USP
2 - 1
UNV
77%
15%
8%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
SPO
2 - 0
USP
43%
28%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Follonica Gavorrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
GAV
1 - 2
PIA
61%
24%
15%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
TIF
0 - 2
GAV
29%
25%
45%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
GAV
2 - 0
54%
23%
23%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
GAV
4 - 0
PRO
80%
13%
7%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
ARZ
1 - 1
GAV
40%
26%
34%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |