Poggibonsi vs Fondi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.1%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
8.4%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poggibonsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
FOL
1 - 1
USP
59%
22%
18%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
USP
2 - 0
LAQ
44%
27%
29%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
ARZ
2 - 1
USP
37%
24%
39%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
USP
1 - 2
SAL
13%
21%
66%
|
29 | 50 | 21 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ASD
2 - 1
USP
45%
25%
31%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Fondi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
ASD
2 - 0
FON
77%
15%
7%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
FON
0 - 3
CAM
41%
26%
33%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
BOR
2 - 1
FON
67%
20%
13%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
FON
0 - 1
FOL
15%
21%
64%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
SAL
3 - 2
FON
85%
11%
4%
|
19 | 50 | 31 | 0 |