Poggibonsi vs Fiorenzuola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
12.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poggibonsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
USP
0 - 1
SDT
54%
23%
24%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
GAV
2 - 1
USP
50%
25%
25%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
USP
0 - 2
JMO
54%
25%
21%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
VFC
1 - 0
USP
34%
28%
39%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -2 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
USP
2 - 1
SSD
58%
24%
19%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Fiorenzuola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
LEN
1 - 0
FIO
66%
19%
15%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
FIO
2 - 1
CAS
32%
23%
45%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
FIO
2 - 3
SON
58%
21%
21%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
BUS
1 - 1
FIO
55%
22%
23%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
FIO
1 - 1
OLG
23%
26%
51%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |