Poggibonsi vs Correggese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
61%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poggibonsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
URI
0 - 1
USP
32%
25%
43%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
USP
0 - 0
MEZ
60%
24%
17%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
RIB
4 - 0
USP
51%
23%
26%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
USP
0 - 0
FIO
66%
22%
12%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
USP
0 - 1
SDT
54%
23%
24%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Correggese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
COR
1 - 1
LEN
49%
24%
28%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
COR
1 - 0
VIR
75%
16%
9%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SCA
1 - 5
COR
13%
20%
67%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
SDT
1 - 1
COR
16%
20%
64%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
COR
2 - 1
PIA
65%
21%
15%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |