Poggibonsi vs Casertana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
37.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poggibonsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2013 |
USP
2 - 1
FOL
40%
26%
34%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
LAQ
0 - 0
USP
42%
27%
31%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
USP
1 - 1
ARZ
56%
24%
20%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
SAL
1 - 1
USP
81%
14%
6%
|
32 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
USP
0 - 0
ASD
48%
26%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2013 |
MAT
0 - 0
CAS
58%
23%
19%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
NUO
1 - 1
CAS
72%
17%
11%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | -2 |
| 15 May. 2013 |
CAS
0 - 0
LRO
79%
14%
8%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
CAS
6 - 4
OST
55%
22%
23%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
SAN
4 - 1
CAS
33%
25%
43%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -3 |