Poggibonsi vs Casale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
47.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poggibonsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
USA
3 - 1
USP
76%
16%
8%
|
29 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
USP
1 - 2
SAN
42%
27%
32%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
USP
3 - 1
SAV
23%
26%
51%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +3 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
MAN
0 - 3
USP
77%
16%
7%
|
24 | 53 | 29 | +3 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
REN
4 - 2
USP
65%
21%
14%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
CAS
1 - 0
SAV
47%
26%
27%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
CAS
1 - 0
MAN
15%
24%
61%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | +2 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
BOR
0 - 1
CAS
37%
25%
38%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
CAS
0 - 1
TRE
20%
26%
54%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ACM
2 - 3
CAS
38%
27%
36%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |