Poggibonsi vs Gualdo Casacastalda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
52.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poggibonsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
USP
5 - 5
ISC
18%
25%
57%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
GAV
0 - 1
USP
61%
22%
18%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
USP
0 - 2
VIG
39%
28%
33%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
USF
1 - 0
USP
80%
14%
6%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
CHI
0 - 0
USP
54%
25%
22%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Gualdo Casacastalda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
VOL
2 - 1
CAS
25%
23%
52%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 2
BAS
71%
18%
12%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
CAS
3 - 1
ARZ
30%
26%
45%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +3 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
SPO
0 - 0
CAS
29%
23%
47%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 1
SAN
55%
23%
22%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |