Poggibonsi vs Borgo a Buggiano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
26%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poggibonsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
VAL
0 - 1
USP
17%
23%
60%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
USP
0 - 0
VIN
51%
26%
23%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CAS
1 - 0
USP
45%
26%
30%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
USP
2 - 1
USA
25%
27%
49%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +2 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
RIM
3 - 0
USP
65%
20%
15%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Borgo a Buggiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
BOR
0 - 1
SAV
33%
27%
40%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
ACS
0 - 1
BOR
24%
24%
52%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
BOR
0 - 2
SAN
42%
28%
31%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ACG
0 - 0
BOR
36%
26%
38%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
BOR
3 - 0
VAL
68%
21%
11%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |