Poggibonsi vs Terranuova Traiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
13.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
3º
15º
3º
35
6º
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 61 |
2º
|
98.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
57 | 58 |
3º
|
64% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
65.5% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
5º
|
83.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
68% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 46 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 45 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 44 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 43 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 43 |
11º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
73% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
13º
|
57% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
35 | 36 |
16º
|
52.5% | |
|
17º
|
32 | 32 |
17º
|
26.5% | |
|
18º
|
32 | 32 |
18º
|
26.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 96% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 4% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poggibonsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
GHI
4 - 2
USP
21%
25%
53%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
USP
1 - 3
ACS
71%
19%
10%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
FLA
0 - 3
USP
23%
26%
51%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
USP
4 - 4
GAV
51%
25%
24%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ORV
0 - 0
USP
15%
19%
66%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Terranuova Traiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
ATT
1 - 2
SPO
52%
22%
26%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
ASD
0 - 0
ATT
41%
23%
37%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ATT
2 - 0
PIA
24%
23%
53%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | +4 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
OST
0 - 1
ATT
48%
23%
29%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ATT
2 - 1
ARZ
11%
15%
74%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | +3 |