Poggibonsi vs Melfi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
19.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poggibonsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CAM
1 - 1
USP
22%
24%
54%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
USP
0 - 0
MAR
26%
26%
48%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
FON
2 - 3
USP
28%
25%
47%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
ACG
2 - 2
USP
42%
26%
33%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
USP
1 - 3
CUN
33%
26%
41%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
ASM
1 - 2
FOL
14%
20%
65%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
VIG
1 - 1
ASM
62%
22%
16%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
ASM
1 - 1
TER
17%
22%
61%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
APR
1 - 1
ASM
63%
20%
17%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
ASM
0 - 1
ARZ
50%
23%
27%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |