Poggibonsi vs AS Figline analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
20.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
4º
11º
7º
26
4º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 75 |
1º
|
96% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 63 |
2º
|
41.5% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 62 |
3º
|
29% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 56 |
4º
|
25.5% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 56 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 49 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
31 | 49 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 47 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 47 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 46 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 44 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 43 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
26 | 41 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 39 |
14º
|
16% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 35 |
15º
|
21.5% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 34 |
16º
|
22% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 28 |
17º
|
38.5% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 27 |
18º
|
52.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
14% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
82.5% | 53.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3.5% | 46% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poggibonsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
ATT
0 - 1
USP
33%
26%
41%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
USP
1 - 2
ACS
70%
18%
11%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
FLA
1 - 2
USP
32%
27%
41%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
USP
1 - 2
LIV
37%
26%
37%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
USP
1 - 1
ORV
62%
21%
18%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
AS Figline
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
ASF
2 - 0
ORV
43%
26%
32%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
SER
1 - 0
ASF
58%
21%
21%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
ASF
1 - 2
SIE
35%
26%
39%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
GGV
3 - 0
ASF
21%
20%
59%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | -2 |
| 06 Nov. 2024 |
ASF
1 - 2
ACS
47%
25%
29%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |