Poggibonsi vs Arzanese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poggibonsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
SAL
1 - 1
USP
81%
14%
6%
|
32 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
USP
0 - 0
ASD
48%
26%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
RAA
0 - 1
USP
15%
23%
62%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
USP
0 - 0
GAV
55%
23%
22%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
USP
1 - 2
APR
48%
25%
27%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Arzanese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
ARZ
0 - 1
MAR
43%
25%
33%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
TER
0 - 1
ARZ
73%
17%
10%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
ARZ
5 - 0
FON
78%
15%
7%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
FOL
0 - 0
ARZ
61%
22%
17%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
ARZ
0 - 1
ASM
49%
25%
26%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |