Poggibonsi vs Aprilia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
26.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poggibonsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
BOR
0 - 0
USP
43%
26%
31%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
USP
2 - 3
PON
27%
26%
47%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 0
USP
39%
26%
35%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
USP
2 - 1
TER
36%
26%
38%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
VIG
0 - 1
USP
43%
26%
31%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
APR
1 - 0
VIG
49%
26%
25%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
TER
0 - 1
APR
69%
18%
13%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
APR
1 - 1
FON
77%
16%
8%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
CAM
3 - 1
APR
35%
27%
39%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
APR
0 - 0
BOR
49%
23%
27%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |