Poggibonsi vs AC Giacomense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
32.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poggibonsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
CUN
1 - 3
USP
71%
18%
11%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
USP
1 - 0
VAL
56%
25%
19%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
BOR
1 - 0
USP
45%
25%
30%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
VIN
1 - 1
USP
36%
26%
38%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
USP
0 - 1
CAS
26%
26%
48%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
AC Giacomense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ACG
0 - 0
RIM
15%
23%
62%
|
28 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
VIN
1 - 1
ACG
43%
26%
31%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ACG
2 - 1
REN
24%
26%
50%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +2 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
USA
2 - 1
ACG
79%
15%
6%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
ACG
0 - 3
TRE
15%
25%
60%
|
28 | 50 | 22 | -2 |