Poggibonsi vs Bellaria Igea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
23.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poggibonsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CAS
1 - 0
USP
45%
26%
30%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
USP
2 - 1
USA
25%
27%
49%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +2 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
RIM
3 - 0
USP
65%
20%
15%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 1
USP
60%
22%
19%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
USP
1 - 0
MAN
21%
25%
54%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Bellaria Igea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
VIN
1 - 1
SAV
31%
27%
43%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
PRO
0 - 0
VIN
76%
16%
8%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
VIN
2 - 1
MAN
18%
25%
57%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | +3 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
TRE
1 - 1
VIN
75%
17%
8%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
VIN
1 - 2
USA
20%
26%
54%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | -1 |