Poggibonsi vs Castelvetro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
63.7%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poggibonsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
LEN
2 - 0
USP
80%
13%
6%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
USP
2 - 1
VFC
12%
21%
67%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | +3 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
SDA
5 - 1
USP
82%
12%
6%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
USP
0 - 5
IMO
10%
20%
70%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | -3 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
USP
0 - 3
RAV
11%
20%
69%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Castelvetro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 1
SCA
62%
19%
19%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
RAV
5 - 0
CAS
63%
21%
16%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
CAS
3 - 3
COR
25%
20%
55%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
VIR
2 - 2
CAS
23%
21%
56%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
CAS
3 - 1
MEZ
58%
21%
22%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |