US Mondorf les Bains vs Wiltz 71 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
19.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Mondorf les Bains
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
FCR
1 - 5
USM
35%
26%
40%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
USM
0 - 4
DIF
36%
25%
39%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
VIC
1 - 0
USM
43%
25%
32%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
USM
2 - 1
BET
57%
22%
21%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
JEU
1 - 1
USM
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Wiltz 71
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
WIL
0 - 4
F91
23%
22%
56%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
FOL
1 - 0
WIL
33%
25%
42%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
WIL
0 - 3
UNA
39%
25%
36%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
RAC
3 - 0
WIL
51%
24%
25%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
USH
3 - 4
WIL
41%
24%
35%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |