Monastir vs ES Tunis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
24.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
9º
4º
39
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
39 | 62 |
1º
|
59.5% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 56 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 56 |
3º
|
24% | |
|
|
3º
|
36 | 55 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 54 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 53 |
6º
|
33% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 43 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 40 |
8º
|
25.5% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 39 |
9º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 36 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 32 |
11º
|
21% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 30 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 30 |
13º
|
22% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 26 |
14º
|
31% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 21 |
15º
|
45% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 16 |
16º
|
68% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
27% | 77% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
16.5% | 10.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
56.5% | 12.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monastir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
USM
3 - 1
CAB
62%
24%
14%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
ETO
0 - 0
USM
29%
29%
42%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
USM
1 - 0
STA
39%
28%
33%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
ASS
0 - 1
USM
37%
28%
35%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
USM
4 - 1
TAT
69%
20%
11%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
ES Tunis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
ESP
1 - 1
OLY
65%
22%
13%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
ESP
4 - 1
SAG
61%
22%
16%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
DJO
0 - 1
ESP
27%
27%
46%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
ASY
2 - 1
ESP
64%
20%
16%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
CSS
0 - 1
ESP
26%
31%
43%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |