Monastir vs CA Bizertin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
14%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
9º
4º
16
7º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
39 | 62 |
1º
|
59.5% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 56 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 56 |
3º
|
24% | |
|
|
3º
|
36 | 55 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 54 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 53 |
6º
|
33% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 43 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 40 |
8º
|
25.5% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 39 |
9º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 36 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
|
11º
|
16 | 32 |
11º
|
21% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 30 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 30 |
13º
|
22% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 26 |
14º
|
31% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 21 |
15º
|
45% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 16 |
16º
|
68% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
27% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
16.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
56.5% | 97% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 3% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monastir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
ETO
0 - 0
USM
29%
29%
42%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
USM
1 - 0
STA
39%
28%
33%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
ASS
0 - 1
USM
37%
28%
35%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
USM
4 - 1
TAT
69%
20%
11%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
USM
0 - 0
ZAR
56%
25%
19%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
CA Bizertin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
OLY
0 - 0
CAB
52%
27%
21%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2024 |
CLU
1 - 0
CAB
55%
27%
18%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
CAB
1 - 0
EGS
58%
25%
18%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
JSO
1 - 1
CAB
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
CAB
0 - 1
BEN
46%
28%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |