Monastir vs CA Bizertin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
+3
7.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
19.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
1º
5º
2º
16
6º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 32 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
26 | 26 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 24 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 20 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 12 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 9 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 5 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 3 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monastir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
USM
1 - 0
CSS
52%
28%
21%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ESP
2 - 0
USM
46%
27%
27%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
USM
3 - 2
ETO
44%
28%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
TAT
2 - 2
USM
32%
27%
41%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
USM
3 - 1
ASD
61%
25%
15%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
CA Bizertin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
CAB
0 - 0
CSS
49%
29%
23%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ETO
1 - 1
CAB
49%
29%
22%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CAB
1 - 0
TAT
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ASD
0 - 0
CAB
34%
30%
36%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
CAB
0 - 2
USM
42%
28%
30%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |