Monastir vs Rejiche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
29.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
1º
9º
3º
6
8º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 17 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 9 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
6 | 6 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monastir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
BEN
1 - 0
USM
37%
29%
34%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
ASS
0 - 2
USM
45%
28%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
ETO
1 - 2
USM
38%
30%
33%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
OLY
0 - 0
USM
32%
30%
38%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
CSS
2 - 2
USM
39%
30%
31%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Rejiche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
ASR
1 - 1
CLU
46%
30%
24%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2022 |
OLY
1 - 0
ASR
34%
30%
36%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
ASR
0 - 0
ETO
47%
29%
24%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
ASR
1 - 0
BEN
50%
28%
21%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
COS
1 - 0
ASR
22%
27%
51%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | -1 |