Monastir vs Marsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
16.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
14.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
1º
5º
2º
5
7º
12º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 32 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
26 | 26 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 24 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 20 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 12 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 9 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
5 | 5 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 3 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monastir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
CAB
0 - 2
USM
42%
28%
30%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
ALS
1 - 0
USM
60%
22%
18%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2023 |
USM
1 - 4
ALN
30%
26%
45%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
ZAM
4 - 0
USM
57%
22%
21%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
USM
1 - 1
CSS
49%
29%
23%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Marsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
ASD
0 - 1
CSS
35%
30%
35%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
ESP
1 - 0
ASD
63%
23%
14%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
ASD
2 - 2
EGS
42%
28%
30%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
ASD
4 - 0
BEM
65%
21%
14%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
OUE
2 - 1
ASD
22%
29%
48%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | -1 |