US Maubeuge vs Longueau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
7.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
3º
13º
10º
12
12º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
85.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
85.5% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
73.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
6º
|
33% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
39% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 19 |
13º
|
39% | |
|
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
79.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
20.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Maubeuge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
USM
0 - 0
IRI
36%
25%
39%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
LEN
6 - 1
USM
69%
18%
14%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
USM
3 - 0
ESL
62%
20%
19%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
AMI
1 - 2
USM
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
USM
1 - 5
LIL
44%
24%
32%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Longueau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
LON
0 - 2
FEI
12%
18%
70%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
IRI
2 - 0
LON
82%
12%
6%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
LON
0 - 3
MAR
22%
22%
56%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
LEN
0 - 0
LON
89%
8%
3%
|
19 | 43 | 24 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
LON
1 - 2
VAL
17%
19%
64%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | -1 |