US Maubeuge vs Longueau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
7.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
3º
13º
10º
12
12º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
85.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
85.5% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
73.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
6º
|
33% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
39% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 19 |
13º
|
39% | |
|
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
79.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
20.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Maubeuge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
USM
0 - 0
IRI
36%
25%
39%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
LEN
6 - 1
USM
69%
18%
14%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
USM
3 - 0
ESL
62%
20%
19%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
AMI
1 - 2
USM
49%
23%
28%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
USM
1 - 5
LIL
44%
24%
32%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Longueau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
LON
0 - 2
FEI
12%
18%
70%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
IRI
2 - 0
LON
82%
12%
6%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
LON
0 - 3
MAR
22%
22%
56%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
LEN
0 - 0
LON
89%
8%
3%
|
18 | 41 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
LON
1 - 2
VAL
17%
19%
64%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | -1 |