Mariglianese vs Lavello analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
52.8%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mariglianese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
PVM
0 - 1
MAR
17%
20%
64%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
MAR
4 - 1
CAS
10%
19%
71%
|
27 | 49 | 22 | +3 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
AUD
4 - 0
MAR
86%
10%
4%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 2
FBC
32%
23%
45%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
NAR
2 - 1
MAR
56%
22%
22%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Lavello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
LAV
2 - 1
USB
42%
25%
33%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
NOC
4 - 3
LAV
36%
26%
39%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
LAV
1 - 0
PVM
86%
10%
5%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
LAV
2 - 2
CAS
23%
23%
54%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
AUD
2 - 1
LAV
69%
18%
14%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |