Mariglianese vs Virtus Matino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
23.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mariglianese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 3
MAR
81%
12%
7%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 3
AUD
12%
20%
68%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | -2 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
FBC
0 - 0
MAR
59%
22%
20%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
VIR
2 - 1
MAR
62%
20%
18%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 1
BIS
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Virtus Matino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
AUD
1 - 0
PVM
90%
8%
3%
|
27 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2022 |
BIS
1 - 2
PVM
55%
22%
23%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
PVM
1 - 2
LAV
32%
23%
46%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
NAR
0 - 0
PVM
60%
20%
20%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
PVM
1 - 1
CAS
14%
18%
68%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | +1 |