US Lavis vs Brian Lignano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.4%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
62.3%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
8%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1186%
+238%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
20º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
18º
20º
20º
30
8º
17º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 77 |
1º
|
54.5% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 77 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 71 |
3º
|
41% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 67 |
4º
|
31% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 62 |
5º
|
23.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 62 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 60 |
7º
|
21.5% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 56 |
8º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 55 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 54 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 50 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 49 |
12º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 49 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 48 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 45 |
15º
|
20% | |
|
|
15º
|
30 | 42 |
16º
|
29.5% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 37 |
17º
|
38.5% | |
|
18º
|
21 | 33 |
18º
|
56% | |
|
19º
|
17 | 28 |
19º
|
80% | |
|
|
20º
|
9 | 17 |
20º
|
98.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 32% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 67.5% |
|
Relegation
|
99.5% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Lavis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
CNO
3 - 0
LAV
81%
12%
7%
|
12 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
LAV
0 - 1
ADB
17%
22%
61%
|
12 | 53 | 41 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
TRE
4 - 1
LAV
76%
15%
9%
|
12 | 56 | 44 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
LAV
2 - 2
MON
11%
16%
73%
|
8 | 45 | 37 | +4 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
CHI
1 - 2
LAV
81%
13%
7%
|
6 | 36 | 30 | +2 |
Matches
Brian Lignano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
BRI
0 - 1
CJA
19%
21%
61%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
BV5
1 - 1
BRI
77%
14%
9%
|
21 | 46 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
BRI
0 - 0
POR
16%
19%
64%
|
19 | 42 | 23 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
CAL
1 - 2
BRI
61%
22%
18%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
BRI
1 - 1
SDA
12%
16%
73%
|
15 | 47 | 32 | +3 |