Itala S. Marco vs Pro Vercelli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
28.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itala S. Marco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
ACS
3 - 1
ITA
45%
25%
30%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
ITA
3 - 1
OLB
40%
27%
34%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
FSD
1 - 1
ITA
46%
25%
29%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
ACR
1 - 2
ITA
59%
23%
19%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +2 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
ITA
2 - 2
FCC
49%
25%
26%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Pro Vercelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
LEO
0 - 0
POL
61%
22%
17%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
USA
0 - 0
LEO
73%
18%
10%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
LEO
2 - 1
VAR
35%
30%
36%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | +2 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
PAV
1 - 1
LEO
55%
24%
21%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
LEO
0 - 1
ACM
51%
25%
24%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |