US Hostert vs Mondercange analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
43.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
12º
16º
16º
29
2º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Hostert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
USH
1 - 0
PRO
15%
21%
64%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
KOE
1 - 2
USH
18%
21%
61%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
JEU
1 - 2
USH
63%
21%
16%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
USH
2 - 3
WIL
39%
24%
38%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
VIC
2 - 2
USH
48%
23%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Mondercange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
MON
1 - 2
USM
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FCS
3 - 8
MON
4%
9%
88%
|
58 | 19 | 39 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
PRO
4 - 0
MON
55%
23%
22%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
MON
0 - 0
DIF
25%
25%
50%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
JEU
1 - 1
MON
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |