US Hostert vs Norden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
18.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Hostert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
FCR
1 - 2
USH
42%
23%
35%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
USH
3 - 0
MAM
54%
23%
24%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
KAE
0 - 0
USH
60%
21%
19%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
USH
1 - 0
ERP
63%
20%
18%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
SWI
0 - 2
USH
34%
23%
43%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Norden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
FFN
6 - 1
URE
78%
14%
8%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
FFN
1 - 1
AVE
64%
20%
17%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
FCR
0 - 2
FFN
61%
20%
19%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
FFN
0 - 0
MAM
43%
24%
33%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
KAE
4 - 1
FFN
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |