Grosseto vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
25.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grosseto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2007 |
LEC
1 - 1
GRO
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
GRO
2 - 0
PIS
48%
28%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
MAN
0 - 0
GRO
51%
27%
22%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
GRO
0 - 0
MES
31%
28%
41%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
BAR
0 - 0
GRO
48%
27%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2007 |
AVE
3 - 2
RAV
46%
26%
28%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
MOD
1 - 0
AVE
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
AVE
0 - 0
ABN
39%
27%
34%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
RIM
2 - 2
AVE
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
AVE
0 - 1
PIA
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |