Grosseto vs Virtus Lanciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grosseto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
CRO
1 - 0
GRO
62%
22%
17%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
GRO
1 - 1
PAD
38%
26%
36%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
GRO
3 - 1
CTT
40%
25%
34%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
VAR
4 - 0
GRO
66%
21%
13%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2012 |
NOV
2 - 0
GRO
68%
20%
13%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
VIR
3 - 2
CTT
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2013 |
ASC
1 - 1
VIR
70%
19%
11%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
VAR
1 - 2
VIR
72%
19%
9%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2012 |
VIR
2 - 1
PAD
22%
26%
52%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
VIR
1 - 0
NOV
20%
27%
54%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | +1 |