Grosseto vs Cavese 1919 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
18%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grosseto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
SPE
2 - 2
GRO
34%
28%
38%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
GRO
1 - 1
CHI
24%
27%
48%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
PIA
1 - 1
GRO
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2008 |
TRE
2 - 1
GRO
40%
28%
33%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
GRO
3 - 0
BOL
32%
29%
39%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Cavese 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
CAV
3 - 1
BIE
57%
23%
21%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
PAD
6 - 4
CAV
55%
25%
20%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
CAV
1 - 2
PAG
63%
22%
14%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
LEC
0 - 0
CAV
30%
30%
40%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
CAV
2 - 1
UNI
52%
27%
22%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |