Grosseto vs San Marino Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
7.8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grosseto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
ASC
1 - 1
GRO
49%
26%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
GRO
1 - 0
SAN
82%
13%
5%
|
59 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
PON
2 - 1
GRO
42%
27%
31%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
GRO
3 - 0
SAV
66%
20%
15%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2014 |
ASL
2 - 1
GRO
31%
27%
41%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
San Marino Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ASG
2 - 0
SAN
71%
18%
11%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2014 |
SAV
4 - 1
SAN
51%
25%
24%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
ASL
38%
27%
35%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 2
TER
61%
21%
17%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
PIS
1 - 0
SAN
71%
20%
10%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | -1 |