Grosseto vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grosseto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
NOC
1 - 1
GRO
57%
23%
20%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
GRO
1 - 1
BEN
38%
25%
37%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
PON
5 - 2
GRO
17%
25%
58%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
NOV
3 - 0
GRO
74%
17%
9%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
GRO
2 - 2
VNZ
77%
14%
9%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
PRG
2 - 1
ASG
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
NOC
2 - 2
PRG
61%
23%
17%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +2 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
PRG
0 - 1
SAV
74%
17%
9%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | -2 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
PRG
2 - 2
PIS
39%
27%
34%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
PIS
2 - 1
PRG
55%
26%
20%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |