Grosseto vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
25%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grosseto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
ASL
0 - 1
GRO
43%
27%
30%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2004 |
GRO
0 - 0
FIA
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
ACI
0 - 2
GRO
41%
28%
31%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
GRO
4 - 2
COM
61%
23%
16%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2004 |
PAV
1 - 1
GRO
52%
24%
24%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
NOV
1 - 0
VIT
69%
19%
12%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2004 |
PIS
2 - 2
NOV
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
NOV
1 - 1
USC
43%
26%
31%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
NOV
3 - 3
SPE
40%
26%
34%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
FRO
2 - 2
NOV
62%
22%
17%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |