Grosseto vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
22.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grosseto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
TRI
0 - 1
GRO
34%
27%
39%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
GRO
3 - 3
ABN
51%
24%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2010 |
SIE
3 - 1
GRO
55%
25%
20%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2010 |
GRO
0 - 0
VAR
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
GRO
0 - 0
TOR
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2010 |
MOD
1 - 1
CTT
40%
28%
32%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
TOR
3 - 2
MOD
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
MOD
2 - 1
VIC
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2010 |
ATL
1 - 0
MOD
67%
21%
12%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
MOD
1 - 1
LIV
30%
28%
42%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |