Grosseto vs Ponsacco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
11.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
9º
17º
13º
37
6º
18º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 61 |
2º
|
98.5% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 58 |
3º
|
64% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
65.5% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
5º
|
83.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
68% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 46 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 45 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 44 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 43 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 43 |
11º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
73% | |
|
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
13º
|
57% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
|
15º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
24.5% | |
|
16º
|
35 | 36 |
16º
|
52.5% | |
|
17º
|
32 | 32 |
17º
|
26.5% | |
|
18º
|
32 | 32 |
18º
|
26.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
7% | 20% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
93% | 80% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grosseto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
SSD
0 - 1
GRO
30%
22%
48%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
SER
0 - 0
GRO
39%
24%
37%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
GRO
1 - 2
USP
35%
27%
38%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
GRO
4 - 4
GHI
60%
22%
18%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
PIA
1 - 1
GRO
60%
22%
18%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ponsacco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
MPO
1 - 3
SER
29%
24%
47%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ATT
0 - 1
MPO
54%
21%
25%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
MPO
1 - 1
GHI
32%
25%
44%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
MPO
2 - 1
ACS
25%
25%
51%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +2 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
FLA
3 - 1
MPO
72%
18%
11%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -1 |