Grosseto vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
19.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grosseto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
REN
2 - 1
GRO
62%
23%
16%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
GRO
2 - 1
PIA
32%
25%
43%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +2 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
OLB
3 - 2
GRO
51%
25%
24%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
GRO
0 - 2
PIS
43%
25%
32%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
PRO
1 - 2
GRO
52%
24%
24%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
ASL
1 - 4
NOV
35%
25%
40%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
PER
0 - 2
ASL
58%
24%
19%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +2 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
ASL
1 - 1
REN
19%
26%
55%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
LEC
2 - 2
ASL
69%
19%
12%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
ASL
1 - 1
CAR
18%
22%
60%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |