Grosseto vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
16%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grosseto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
FRO
1 - 0
GRO
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
GRO
1 - 1
CHI
67%
21%
12%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
PIS
0 - 1
GRO
43%
28%
29%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
GRO
1 - 2
CAG
21%
23%
56%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
GRO
2 - 0
MAN
39%
24%
36%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
ASL
0 - 1
NAP
27%
29%
45%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
GEL
0 - 0
ASL
27%
26%
48%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
ASL
2 - 1
SSM
67%
20%
13%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
ASL
1 - 2
PIA
25%
27%
48%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
ASL
0 - 2
MAN
29%
27%
44%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |