Grosseto vs AC Carpi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
15.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grosseto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
BOL
0 - 2
GRO
76%
16%
8%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
LIV
2 - 0
GRO
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
GRO
1 - 1
EMP
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
MOD
2 - 1
GRO
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
GRO
2 - 4
PES
36%
25%
38%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
AC Carpi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
CAR
5 - 0
CIT
74%
17%
9%
|
57 | 34 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
LEO
0 - 0
CAR
37%
30%
33%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 0
FOL
57%
24%
20%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 1
BEN
27%
26%
47%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
PIS
2 - 1
CAR
53%
26%
21%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |