Grosseto vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
32.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grosseto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2012 |
VAR
1 - 3
GRO
56%
25%
19%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
GRO
1 - 2
NOC
67%
20%
13%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 1
GRO
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
GRO
2 - 2
SAS
36%
27%
37%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
BRE
2 - 1
GRO
60%
24%
16%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
PAD
0 - 6
PES
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
JUS
2 - 0
PAD
36%
27%
37%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
LIV
1 - 2
PAD
39%
27%
34%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
PAD
1 - 2
CRO
62%
23%
15%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2012 |
VIC
0 - 1
PAD
23%
27%
51%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |