Grosseto vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
56.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grosseto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
GRO
2 - 0
MAN
39%
24%
36%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
GRO
2 - 1
SAS
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
FRO
0 - 1
GRO
58%
24%
19%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
GRO
2 - 2
USC
44%
27%
29%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
NOV
1 - 0
GRO
35%
28%
37%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
SAN
1 - 3
CAG
8%
15%
78%
|
77 | 39 | 38 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
JUV
4 - 2
CAG
74%
16%
9%
|
77 | 91 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
CAG
1 - 1
UDI
31%
26%
43%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2005 |
INT
3 - 1
CAG
74%
17%
9%
|
77 | 91 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
MES
2 - 1
CAG
43%
25%
32%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |